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Approaching 2024
Reflections on lingering issues from the past year and expectations for the upcoming one intensify, particularly in the latter part of December. With a packed agenda this year, starting to list the problems early makes sense.
At the forefront of this agenda is the attempts of preventing global warming. This widespread issue imperils the existence not only of all global populations but also the entire spectrum of life on our planet. Furthermore, it intertwines with and influences all other global challenges.
Given its global scope, preventing global warming necessitates collaboration among countries with the highest production and consumption of fossil fuels and intensive agricultural practices.
Presently, two pivotal geopolitical challenges emerge: Firstly, an impassable disparity exists between the expectations of the "developed countries," which initiated industrialization and atmospheric pollution in the 18th to 19th century, escalating during the subsequent phase of globalization, and those of the "Global South" (previously colonies, now developing nations) which embarked on industrialization later, tethered to the former. Secondly, the contradictions between the US-led Western dominance, waning economically, culturally, and even militarily, and the ascent of emerging global powers persist in an intricate and irreconcilable trajectory, deepening continuously.
Should Trump, a denier of global warming, secure victory in the upcoming US presidential elections, we ought to anticipate heightened challenges in global cooperation, a concerning deepening of the geopolitical issues, and an accelerated trend toward fascism in both the US and worldwide.
The convening of COP28 amidst the conflict in Ukraine and the Gaza genocide sparked intensified debates revolving around these two critical issues. Iran's departure from the summit added another dimension to the discussions. These deliberations also underscored the evident decline in the United States' capability to resolve global issues. The response of the Biden administration and EU governments to the Gaza massacre not only elicited global backlash but also exposed fractures within US foreign policy circles. The administration's inability to control the Netanyahu regime was starkly evident. In a recent development, Republican senators in the US Senate obstructed aid to Ukraine. Concurrently, Western media highlighted purported fissures in European countries' support, with claims suggesting that "Zelenskyy is turning into an autocrat," "Zelenskyy's confidence in his nation is eroding," and "Ukraine ranks among the most corrupt countries globally," as stated by Orban.
Simultaneously, the European Union faces a declining economy and escalating trade tensions, particularly with the US and China, exacerbating existing issues. Remarkably, these challenges intertwine significantly with the global warming discourse. Reports suggest that China's burgeoning electric automobile sector, now grappling with surplus production capacity, is poised to present a significant threat to the competitiveness and export strength of the European automotive industry. Moreover, China's supremacy in supplying essential inputs and minerals vital for "green technologies" raises economic and strategic concerns for Western nations.
SOCIAL CLASS CONFLICTS
Apart from the geopolitical hurdles hindering the necessary actions to combat global warming, there are also challenges stemming from escalating class disparities at a national level. The prevailing capitalistic interests are reluctant to shoulder the expenses required for mitigation measures, both in terms of impacting the accumulation process and addressing the social costs associated with necessary public expenses aimed at relieving the adverse effects of these measures on people's lives.
Rather than facing the intricate and challenging truths of global warming and capitalism, the working classes; Particularly industrial and land transportation laborers are drawn to the simple and reassuring assertions of the fascist movement. This movement denies the global warming, dismissing it as a conspiracy theory. Consequently, we are witnessing a swift surge in far-right fascist movements across the US, Europe, Latin America, and even India within this environment.
In short, global warming, a consequence of capitalism, stands as the center point of numerous issues. In the upcoming articles for the new year, I aim to delve deeper into various topics such as global warming, geopolitics, the potential risks associated with Trump's victory, and the concept of "fascism as a process," addressing each of these themes individually.